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Given the physical limits of the universe and our planet in particular, yeah, this is pretty much always true. The interesting question is: what is that limit, and: how many orders of magnitude are we away from leveling off?


For reasoning the data suggests models are in the logistic domain?

Grok 3 - Grok 3 reasoning: 15% increase in training compute for a 25% uplift in inteligence

Grok 3 reasoning - Grok 4: 80% increase in training compute for a 15% uplift in inteligence.

Inteligence: Source Atrifical Analysis

Training Compute: Source https://youtu.be/MtYsUdfZPMA?t=162




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