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The vast majority of violent criminals in the USA are male, but the majority of males are not violent criminals.


And yet being male still almost perfectly correlates with being a violent criminal. asdfologist probably picks on a loose use of word "correlation", correlation is by definition symmetric. pg is really talking about conditional probabilities, but honestly I think everyone understands what he means.


You're right-I was also thinking of conditional probabilities. I appreciate the correction-I'm trying to learn to be more precise.


I did interpret it to be symmetric, but now that I think about it you seem to be right that colloquially it does (generally) refer to conditional probability. I disagree though that everyone interprets it that way, based on the upvotes my comment got.




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